Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000067 0.000080 0.000094 0.000111 0.000129 0.000149 0.000171
2025-03-30 0.000050 0.000066 0.000086 0.000110 0.000138 0.000170 0.000209
2025-04-06 0.000039 0.000057 0.000079 0.000108 0.000142 0.000183 0.000235
2025-04-13 0.000035 0.000054 0.000079 0.000113 0.000156 0.000207 0.000273
2025-04-20 0.000028 0.000047 0.000073 0.000110 0.000157 0.000216 0.000293
2025-04-27 0.000023 0.000043 0.000070 0.000109 0.000161 0.000228 0.000316
2025-05-04 0.000020 0.000039 0.000067 0.000109 0.000166 0.000240 0.000340
2025-05-11 0.000018 0.000038 0.000068 0.000113 0.000177 0.000261 0.000374
2025-05-18 0.000016 0.000035 0.000066 0.000114 0.000182 0.000273 0.000399
2025-05-25 0.000013 0.000031 0.000061 0.000110 0.000181 0.000278 0.000413
2025-06-01 0.000011 0.000029 0.000059 0.000110 0.000186 0.000289 0.000436
2025-06-08 0.000009 0.000027 0.000057 0.000110 0.000190 0.000301 0.000459
2025-06-15 0.000008 0.000025 0.000056 0.000111 0.000196 0.000315 0.000487
2025-06-22 0.000007 0.000023 0.000054 0.000110 0.000199 0.000325 0.000509
2025-06-29 0.000005 0.000020 0.000051 0.000108 0.000200 0.000332 0.000527
2025-07-06 0.000005 0.000020 0.000053 0.000113 0.000212 0.000356 0.000569
2025-07-13 0.000004 0.000018 0.000049 0.000110 0.000211 0.000361 0.000584
2025-07-20 0.000003 0.000016 0.000047 0.000109 0.000214 0.000370 0.000605
2025-07-27 0.000003 0.000015 0.000046 0.000109 0.000217 0.000381 0.000629
2025-08-03 0.000003 0.000015 0.000047 0.000113 0.000229 0.000403 0.000670
2025-08-10 0.000002 0.000014 0.000046 0.000114 0.000233 0.000416 0.000697
2025-08-17 0.000002 0.000012 0.000043 0.000110 0.000230 0.000417 0.000707
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000012 0.000042 0.000110 0.000234 0.000429 0.000733